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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Up 20%

Total Value

$277.29

Combined PnL

-$488.5

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 15 top traders (20%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares527
Combined PnL-$496.12
Down12 traders
Total Value$277.29
Total Shares277
Combined PnL+$7.63
Up — 20%Down — 80%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$514.07

Value

—

PnL

-$494.56

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$106

Value

$107.07

PnL

+$1.07

Record

98%

4326-89 (4415)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$41.02

Value

$41.08

PnL

+$0.31

Record

42%

1993-2712 (4705)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$33.28

Value

$34.22

PnL

+$0.95

Record

44%

1359-1698 (3057)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$17.6

Value

$19.1

PnL

+$1.5

Record

50%

4510-4587 (9097)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$19.92

Value

$19

PnL

+$0.52

Record

39%

1668-2567 (4235)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$11.52

Value

$13.65

PnL

+$2.13

Record

52%

3730-3475 (7205)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$10.84

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.84

Record

60%

4116-2795 (6911)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$7.83

Value

$9

PnL

+$1.17

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$8.99

Value

$9

PnL

+$0.01

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7.15

PnL

+$0.29

Record

65%

2713-1481 (4194)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$5.7

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.3

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$1.8

Value

$2.02

PnL

+$0.22

Record

62%

4490-2713 (7203)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.29

Value

—

PnL

-$0.29

Record

33%

1191-2369 (3560)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.28

Value

—

PnL

-$1.28

Record

67%

3836-1923 (5759)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa65b5ddc...3c5592
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794744000

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$494.56
HO

hoodquant

Down — $107.07

+$1.07
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $41.08

+$0.31
13

13897651

Down — $34.22

+$0.95
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $19.1

+$1.5

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $19

+$0.52
SO

soswald1

Down — $13.65

+$2.13
AA

aaa221

Down — $10

-$0.84
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $9

+$1.17
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $9

+$0.01
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