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UpDownDownUpDownUp
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 63%
Total Value
$91.26
Combined PnL
-$540.49
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares601
Combined PnL-$544.95
Down3 traders
Total Value$91.26
Total Shares91
Combined PnL+$4.46
Up — 63%Down — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49¢ | $508.2 | — | -$489.55 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $42.45 | $40.2 | +$1.3 | 52% 3730-3475 (7205) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $36.52 | $38.14 | +$1.63 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.3¢ | $24.62 | — | -$24.62 | 49% 3541-3613 (7154) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.6¢ | $22.62 | $12.91 | +$1.53 | 62% 4490-2713 (7203) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.7¢ | $8.37 | — | -$8.37 | 44% 1359-1698 (3057) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 39% 1668-2567 (4235) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $27.43 | — | -$20.26 | 50% 4510-4587 (9097) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$508.2
Value
—
PnL
-$489.55
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$42.45
Value
$40.2
PnL
+$1.3
Record
52%
3730-3475 (7205)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$36.52
Value
$38.14
PnL
+$1.63
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$24.62
Value
—
PnL
-$24.62
Record
49%
3541-3613 (7154)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$22.62
Value
$12.91
PnL
+$1.53
Record
62%
4490-2713 (7203)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$8.37
Value
—
PnL
-$8.37
Record
44%
1359-1698 (3057)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
39%
1668-2567 (4235)
AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100Invested
$27.43
Value
—
PnL
-$20.26
Record
50%
4510-4587 (9097)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4ca8bd8e...8940a6
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794743700