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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$78.14

Combined PnL

-$565.97

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares677
Combined PnL-$586.56
Down5 traders
Total Value$78.14
Total Shares78
Combined PnL+$20.59
Up — 55%Down — 45%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$511.58

Value

—

PnL

-$496.7

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$64.26

Value

—

PnL

-$64.26

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$21.9

Value

—

PnL

-$21.9

Record

50%

4510-4587 (9097)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$20.81

Value

$24.46

PnL

+$6.65

Record

52%

3730-3475 (7205)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$27.16

Value

$26.47

PnL

-$0.69

Record

44%

1359-1698 (3057)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$7

Value

$15

PnL

+$8

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$3.47

Value

$7.21

PnL

+$4.03

Record

62%

4490-2713 (7203)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$2.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.6

Record

39%

1668-2567 (4235)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

48%

2437-2636 (5073)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

48%

2459-2704 (5163)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1451-2565 (4016)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x520d0c3d...bedd63
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794743100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$496.7
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$64.26
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$21.9
SO

soswald1

Down — $24.46

+$6.65
13

13897651

Down — $26.47

-$0.69

ohioism

Down — $15

+$8
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $7.21

+$4.03

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $5

+$2.6
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.8
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.85
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