Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$672.39
-$4.27
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $505.7 | $500.06 | +$1.36 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.3¢ | $251.39 | $500.06 | +$250.46 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.4¢ | $246.86 | — | -$249.1 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 51.2¢ | $154.3 | $155 | +$2.15 | 52% 3683-3445 (7128) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $13.71 | $10 | -$3.71 | 44% 1337-1675 (3012) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $4.05 | $5.26 | +$1.21 | 67% 3766-1879 (5645) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.5¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 50% 1679-1712 (3391) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 55% 2589-2161 (4750) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 53% 1518-1369 (2887) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $1.14 | $2.07 | +$0.93 | 62% 4407-2657 (7064) |
Invested
$505.7
Value
$500.06
PnL
+$1.36
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
Both legs:
Invested
$154.3
Value
$155
PnL
+$2.15
Record
52%
3683-3445 (7128)
Invested
$13.71
Value
$10
PnL
-$3.71
Record
44%
1337-1675 (3012)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5.26
PnL
+$1.21
Record
67%
3766-1879 (5645)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
50%
1679-1712 (3391)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
55%
2589-2161 (4750)
Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
53%
1518-1369 (2887)
Invested
$1.14
Value
$2.07
PnL
+$0.93
Record
62%
4407-2657 (7064)