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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$970.23

Combined PnL

$24.07

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$475.23

Total Shares475

Combined PnL+$29.38

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares31

Combined PnL-$5.31

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$503.78	$495	+$0.85	54% 3939-3307 (7246)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$248.8	—	-$248
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$248.85
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 94.8¢	$245.44	$258.98	+$13.54	42% 1920-2608 (4528)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50.9¢	$153.85	$155	+$9.7	52% 3670-3435 (7105)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 85.6¢	$36.15	$36.59	+$5.39	39% 1613-2504 (4117)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 80¢	$6	$7.5	+$1.5	60% 4018-2726 (6744)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 99¢	$7.2	$5	-$2.2	44% 1326-1666 (2992)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	50% 901-901 (1802)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91¢	$4.7	$5.16	+$0.46	65% 2632-1442 (4074)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 89¢	$4.45	$5	+$0.55	47% 2293-2538 (4831)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 78¢	$1.56	$2	+$0.44	63% 4381-2627 (7008)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.21	—	-$0.21	33% 1155-2309 (3464)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$503.78

Value

$495

PnL

+$0.85

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

Both legs:

Down$248.849.8¢-$248

Up$247.550¢+$248.85

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$245.44

Value

$258.98

PnL

+$13.54

Record

42%

1920-2608 (4528)

Invested

$153.85

Value

$155

PnL

+$9.7

Record

52%

3670-3435 (7105)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$36.15

Value

$36.59

PnL

+$5.39

Record

39%

1613-2504 (4117)

Invested

$6

Value

$7.5

PnL

+$1.5

Record

60%

4018-2726 (6744)

Invested

$7.2

Value

$5

PnL

-$2.2

Record

44%

1326-1666 (2992)

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

50%

901-901 (1802)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5.16

PnL

+$0.46

Record

65%

2632-1442 (4074)

Invested

$4.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.55

Record

47%

2293-2538 (4831)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.56

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.44

Record

63%

4381-2627 (7008)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.21

Value

—

PnL

-$0.21

Record

33%

1155-2309 (3464)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x298bfcdd...a3667b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794731100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $258.98

soswald1

Up — $155

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $36.59

aaa221

Up — $7.5

13897651

Up — $5

PBot-6

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $5.16

ohioism

Up — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2

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