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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$858.01

Combined PnL

$16.19

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$363.01
Total Shares363
Combined PnL+$19.65
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$3.47
Up — 78%Down — 22%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$495

PnL

-$2.5

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250
Up$247.550¢+$247.5
SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$152.5

Value

$155

PnL

+$6.25

Record

52%

3670-3435 (7105)

OhioRiskManagement
Up

Invested

$142.47

Value

$145.07

PnL

+$2.6

Record

39%

1613-2504 (4117)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$22.56

Value

$24

PnL

+$1.44

Record

33%

1155-2309 (3464)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$18.35

Value

$17.84

PnL

-$0.51

Record

44%

1326-1666 (2992)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$8

Value

$16

PnL

+$8

Record

51%

2039-1965 (4004)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$3.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.05

Record

65%

2632-1442 (4074)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.79

Value

—

PnL

-$1.79

Record

54%

2562-2153 (4715)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.68

Record

67%

3730-1865 (5595)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$3.24

Value

$0.1

PnL

+$0.82

Record

63%

4381-2627 (7008)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x4c7db145...f75c73
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794730800

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$2.5
SO

soswald1

Up — $155

+$6.25

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $145.07

+$2.6

pspspsps5

Up — $24

+$1.44
13

13897651

Up — $17.84

-$0.51
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $16

+$8
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

+$1.05
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.79
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.68
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0.1

+$0.82
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