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UpDown
OhioRiskManagement<$100DownDownUpUp
pspspsps5CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 63%
Total Value
$33.78
Combined PnL
-$500.79
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares530
Combined PnL-$503.07
Down3 traders
Total Value$33.78
Total Shares34
Combined PnL+$2.28
Up — 63%Down — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500.59 | — | -$500.59 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $15.16 | $15.08 | +$0.04 | 63% 4381-2627 (7008) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $8.3 | $9.1 | +$0.8 | 39% 1613-2504 (4117) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $8.16 | $9.6 | +$1.44 | 54% 2562-2153 (4715) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 44% 1326-1666 (2992) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.2¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 42% 1920-2608 (4528) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 33% 1155-2309 (3464) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 52% 1501-1359 (2860) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500.59
Value
—
PnL
-$500.59
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$15.16
Value
$15.08
PnL
+$0.04
Record
63%
4381-2627 (7008)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
$9.1
PnL
+$0.8
Record
39%
1613-2504 (4117)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$8.16
Value
$9.6
PnL
+$1.44
Record
54%
2562-2153 (4715)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
44%
1326-1666 (2992)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
42%
1920-2608 (4528)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
33%
1155-2309 (3464)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
52%
1501-1359 (2860)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x77531545...d7e436
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794730200