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DownUpUpUpDownUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$628.08
Combined PnL
$44.07
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$138.07
Total Shares138
Combined PnL+$58.47
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$14.4
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $508.67 | $490.01 | -$5.98 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $254.09 | — | -$252.79 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.4¢ | $242.22 | $490.01 | +$246.81 | |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $54.43 | $56.75 | +$7.62 | 52% 3670-3435 (7105) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 21.9¢ | $13.75 | $49 | +$38.7 | 54% 2562-2153 (4715) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 41.4¢ | $14.09 | $23.08 | +$8.98 | 44% 1326-1666 (2992) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $11.4 | — | -$11.4 | 60% 4018-2726 (6744) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 38.1¢ | $6.1 | $9.24 | +$3.17 | 63% 4381-2627 (7008) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 2388-2566 (4954) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$508.67
Value
$490.01
PnL
-$5.98
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
Both legs:
Down$254.0949.6¢-$252.79
Up$242.2249.4¢+$246.81
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$54.43
Value
$56.75
PnL
+$7.62
Record
52%
3670-3435 (7105)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$13.75
Value
$49
PnL
+$38.7
Record
54%
2562-2153 (4715)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$14.09
Value
$23.08
PnL
+$8.98
Record
44%
1326-1666 (2992)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$11.4
Value
—
PnL
-$11.4
Record
60%
4018-2726 (6744)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$6.1
Value
$9.24
PnL
+$3.17
Record
63%
4381-2627 (7008)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
2388-2566 (4954)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4137f786...31ef3f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794729900