Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$791.03
$7.84
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $501.1 | $500 | -$1.1 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $251.1 | — | -$251.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$7.25 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 97.7¢ | $98.73 | $101.1 | +$2.37 | 33% 1149-2293 (3442) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $30 | $32.93 | +$2.92 | 39% 1607-2488 (4095) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $6.79 | $5 | -$1.79 | 44% 1317-1660 (2977) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.7¢ | $2.77 | — | -$2.77 | 60% 3996-2713 (6709) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $1.78 | $2 | +$0.22 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
Invested
$501.1
Value
$500
PnL
-$1.1
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$7.25
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
pspspsps5Invested
$98.73
Value
$101.1
PnL
+$2.37
Record
33%
1149-2293 (3442)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$30
Value
$32.93
PnL
+$2.92
Record
39%
1607-2488 (4095)
Invested
$6.79
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.79
Record
44%
1317-1660 (2977)
Invested
$2.77
Value
—
PnL
-$2.77
Record
60%
3996-2713 (6709)
Invested
$1.78
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.22
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)