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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 42%

Total Value

$169.7

Combined PnL

-$513.19

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares571

Combined PnL-$519.12

Down8 traders

Total Value$169.7

Total Shares170

Combined PnL+$5.93

Up — 38%Down — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 99¢	$86.07	$84.24	-$1.83	39% 1607-2488 (4095)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 91¢	$59.15	$65	+$5.85	54% 2550-2139 (4689)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$15.19	—	-$15.19	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 85.1¢	$6.18	$7	+$0.82	44% 1317-1660 (2977)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 95¢	$4.85	$5.11	+$0.26	67% 3707-1852 (5559)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 95¢	$4.8	$5.05	+$0.25	65% 2617-1432 (4049)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 21¢	$2.27	—	-$2.27	50% 3448-3455 (6903)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 81¢	$1.62	$2	+$0.38	62% 4354-2613 (6967)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 80¢	$0.8	$1	+$0.2	60% 3996-2713 (6709)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$0.46	—	-$0.46	33% 1149-2293 (3442)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$0.3	$0.3	+$0	52% 1489-1357 (2846)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 20¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	43% 1909-2581 (4490)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$86.07

Value

$84.24

PnL

-$1.83

Record

39%

1607-2488 (4095)

Invested

$59.15

Value

$65

PnL

+$5.85

Record

54%

2550-2139 (4689)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$15.19

Value

—

PnL

-$15.19

Record

51%

2031-1950 (3981)

Invested

$6.18

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.82

Record

44%

1317-1660 (2977)

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.26

Record

67%

3707-1852 (5559)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.25

Record

65%

2617-1432 (4049)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.27

Value

—

PnL

-$2.27

Record

50%

3448-3455 (6903)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.62

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.38

Record

62%

4354-2613 (6967)

Invested

$0.8

Value

$1

PnL

+$0.2

Record

60%

3996-2713 (6709)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.46

Value

—

PnL

-$0.46

Record

33%

1149-2293 (3442)

Invested

$0.3

Value

$0.3

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

1489-1357 (2846)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

43%

1909-2581 (4490)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0f3f1acf...7b9ca8

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794728100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $84.24

ply-pm2

Down — $65

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $7

asdaefef

Down — $5.11

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

aaa221

Down — $1

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