Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Up 60%
$61.72
-$645.05
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | — | -$150 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $25.17 | $31.55 | +$6.38 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $13.65 | $15.17 | +$1.52 | 39% 1607-2488 (4095) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $7.84 | $8 | +$0.26 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 50% 2651-2645 (5296) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 43% 1909-2581 (4490) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 44% 1317-1660 (2977) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 52% 1489-1357 (2846) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 50% 1667-1698 (3365) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Invested
$150
Value
—
PnL
-$150
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
Invested
$25.17
Value
$31.55
PnL
+$6.38
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$15.17
PnL
+$1.52
Record
39%
1607-2488 (4095)
Invested
$7.84
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.26
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
50%
2651-2645 (5296)
Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
43%
1909-2581 (4490)
Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
44%
1317-1660 (2977)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
52%
1489-1357 (2846)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
50%
1667-1698 (3365)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up — $0
soswald1
Up — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $31.55
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $15.17
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $8
dvasdkasodk
Down — $7
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $0
13897651
Up — $0
0x50f7
Up — $0
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $0