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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$715.6

Combined PnL

-$10.14

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$220.6

Total Shares221

Combined PnL+$7.37

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares256

Combined PnL-$17.51

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$504.8	$495	-$4.24	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$248.6	$495	+$245
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$249.39	—	-$249.24
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$0	52% 3660-3421 (7081)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$30.47	$30.2	-$0.27	52% 1489-1357 (2846)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 77.3¢	$10.22	$10.48	+$0.26	54% 2550-2139 (4689)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 70.9¢	$6.73	$9.08	+$2.36	44% 1317-1660 (2977)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 93¢	$6.86	$7.38	+$0.52	67% 3707-1852 (5559)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$7	—	-$7	51% 2031-1950 (3981)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91¢	$6.79	$7.46	+$0.67	65% 2617-1432 (4049)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 36¢	$2.16	$6	+$3.84	47% 2283-2527 (4810)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 5.1¢	$9.21	—	-$9.21	43% 1909-2581 (4490)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 4.8¢	$1.97	—	-$1.97	39% 1607-2488 (4095)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.7¢	$0.69	—	-$0.69	33% 1149-2293 (3442)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 72¢	$1.88	—	+$1.36	62% 4354-2613 (6967)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.8

Value

$495

PnL

-$4.24

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

Both legs:

Up$248.650.2¢+$245

Down$249.3950¢-$249.24

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

3660-3421 (7081)

Invested

$30.47

Value

$30.2

PnL

-$0.27

Record

52%

1489-1357 (2846)

Invested

$10.22

Value

$10.48

PnL

+$0.26

Record

54%

2550-2139 (4689)

Invested

$6.73

Value

$9.08

PnL

+$2.36

Record

44%

1317-1660 (2977)

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7.38

PnL

+$0.52

Record

67%

3707-1852 (5559)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$7

Value

—

PnL

-$7

Record

51%

2031-1950 (3981)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$6.79

Value

$7.46

PnL

+$0.67

Record

65%

2617-1432 (4049)

Invested

$2.16

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.84

Record

47%

2283-2527 (4810)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$9.21

Value

—

PnL

-$9.21

Record

43%

1909-2581 (4490)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.97

Value

—

PnL

-$1.97

Record

39%

1607-2488 (4095)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.69

Value

—

PnL

-$0.69

Record

33%

1149-2293 (3442)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$1.88

Value

—

PnL

+$1.36

Record

62%

4354-2613 (6967)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6ba0d9ca...9e236f

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794726900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

0x50f7

Up — $30.2

ply-pm2

Up — $10.48

13897651

Up — $9.08

asdaefef

Up — $7.38

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $7.46

ohioism

Up — $6

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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