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DownUpUpUpUp
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownDown
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 50%
Total Value
$185.86
Combined PnL
-$499.97
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares571
Combined PnL-$498.73
Up4 traders
Total Value$185.86
Total Shares186
Combined PnL-$1.24
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.7¢ | $500.9 | — | -$496.9 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 51¢ | $154 | $155 | +$3.7 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $13.64 | $13.78 | +$0.14 | 98% 4160-87 (4247) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 84.3¢ | $15.6 | $12.08 | -$3.52 | 44% 1317-1660 (2977) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $7.64 | $5 | -$1.56 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 33% 1149-2293 (3442) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1429-2521 (3950) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 39% 1607-2488 (4095) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500.9
Value
—
PnL
-$496.9
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
SO
soswald1Invested
$154
Value
$155
PnL
+$3.7
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$13.64
Value
$13.78
PnL
+$0.14
Record
98%
4160-87 (4247)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$15.6
Value
$12.08
PnL
-$3.52
Record
44%
1317-1660 (2977)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$7.64
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.56
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
33%
1149-2293 (3442)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1429-2521 (3950)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
39%
1607-2488 (4095)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaf4d99b7...b3fb21
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794726300