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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 45%

Total Value

$113.2

Combined PnL

-$651.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares677
Combined PnL-$651.92
Down6 traders
Total Value$113.2
Total Shares113
Combined PnL-$0.07
Up — 45%Down — 55%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$150

Record

52%

3660-3421 (7081)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$79.52

Value

$77.04

PnL

-$2.48

Record

39%

1607-2488 (4095)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

52%

1489-1357 (2846)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.31

Record

67%

3707-1852 (5559)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.1

Record

65%

2617-1432 (4049)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$7.47

Value

$9

PnL

+$1.53

Record

54%

2550-2139 (4689)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.14

Value

—

PnL

-$1.14

Record

43%

1909-2581 (4490)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.31

Value

—

PnL

-$0.31

Record

44%

1317-1660 (2977)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$1.54

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.46

Record

62%

4354-2613 (6967)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.47

Value

—

PnL

-$0.47

Record

33%

1149-2293 (3442)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x678be5a3...c1ffdf
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794726000

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$150

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $77.04

-$2.48
0X

0x50f7

Down — $15

+$0.02
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.11

+$0.31
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

+$0.1
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $9

+$1.53
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.14
13

13897651

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.31
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

+$0.46
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