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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$119.42

Combined PnL

-$508.56

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares568

Combined PnL-$517.64

Down5 traders

Total Value$119.42

Total Shares119

Combined PnL+$9.07

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	54% 3914-3284 (7198)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 99¢	$81.21	$79.54	-$1.67	39% 1607-2488 (4095)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$4.48	—	-$4.48	50% 1667-1698 (3365)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 61.1¢	$15.82	$25.88	+$10.06	54% 2550-2139 (4689)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 39.5¢	$9.41	—	-$9.41	44% 1317-1660 (2977)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$1.43	—	-$1.43	48% 2372-2557 (4929)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	47% 2283-2527 (4810)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	65% 2617-1432 (4049)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	67% 3707-1852 (5559)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 86.5¢	$3.46	$4	+$0.54	62% 4354-2613 (6967)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 17¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	43% 1909-2581 (4490)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

3914-3284 (7198)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$81.21

Value

$79.54

PnL

-$1.67

Record

39%

1607-2488 (4095)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$4.48

Value

—

PnL

-$4.48

Record

50%

1667-1698 (3365)

Invested

$15.82

Value

$25.88

PnL

+$10.06

Record

54%

2550-2139 (4689)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$9.41

Value

—

PnL

-$9.41

Record

44%

1317-1660 (2977)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.43

Value

—

PnL

-$1.43

Record

48%

2372-2557 (4929)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

47%

2283-2527 (4810)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

65%

2617-1432 (4049)

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

67%

3707-1852 (5559)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.46

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.54

Record

62%

4354-2613 (6967)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

43%

1909-2581 (4490)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8f5cbaa9...ae370c

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794725400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $79.54

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $25.88

13897651

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

asdaefef

Down — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $4

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