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UpDownDownDownDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 43%
Total Value
$104.37
Combined PnL
-$491.26
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares614
Combined PnL-$504.85
Down4 traders
Total Value$104.37
Total Shares104
Combined PnL+$13.59
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3871-3256 (7127) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $35.58 | $35.41 | -$0.17 | 52% 1476-1351 (2827) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $40.91 | $51.96 | +$11.05 | 54% 2526-2126 (4652) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $13.2 | $15 | +$1.8 | 44% 1307-1651 (2958) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $1.1 | $2 | +$0.9 | 62% 4316-2591 (6907) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 33% 1139-2277 (3416) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 43% 1894-2540 (4434) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3871-3256 (7127)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$35.58
Value
$35.41
PnL
-$0.17
Record
52%
1476-1351 (2827)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$40.91
Value
$51.96
PnL
+$11.05
Record
54%
2526-2126 (4652)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$13.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.8
Record
44%
1307-1651 (2958)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.9
Record
62%
4316-2591 (6907)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
33%
1139-2277 (3416)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
43%
1894-2540 (4434)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf02742c0...81315f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794725100