Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 27%

Total Value

$118.35

Combined PnL

-$496.64

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares541
Combined PnL-$502.51
Down8 traders
Total Value$118.35
Total Shares118
Combined PnL+$5.87
Up — 27%Down — 73%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$53.54

Value

$54.32

PnL

+$0.78

Record

33%

1139-2277 (3416)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$13.37

Value

$13.95

PnL

+$0.58

Record

60%

3969-2697 (6666)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$12.09

Value

$12.1

PnL

+$0.01

Record

52%

1476-1351 (2827)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$9.56

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.44

Record

44%

1307-1651 (2958)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.94

Value

—

PnL

-$1.94

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$9.13

Value

$10.88

PnL

+$1.75

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.31

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$8.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.5

Record

52%

3641-3403 (7044)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$1.5

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.5

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.57

Value

—

PnL

-$0.57

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x894867f0...a6b979
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794724500

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500

pspspsps5

Down — $54.32

+$0.78
AA

aaa221

Down — $13.95

+$0.58
0X

0x50f7

Down — $12.1

+$0.01
13

13897651

Down — $10

+$0.44
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.94
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $10.88

+$1.75
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.11

+$0.31
SO

soswald1

Down — $10

+$1.5
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

+$0.5
Trade on Polymarket