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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 86%
Total Value
$6
Combined PnL
-$527.82
Smart Money Signal
Up
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares579
Combined PnL-$528.18
Down1 trader
Total Value$6
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$0.36
Up — 86%Down — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $505.07 | — | -$493.88 | 54% 3871-3256 (7127) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $14.12 | — | -$14.12 | 51% 2012-1937 (3949) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.6¢ | $9.7 | — | -$9.7 | 54% 2526-2126 (4652) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $5.64 | $6 | +$0.36 | 62% 4316-2591 (6907) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.4¢ | $3.51 | — | -$3.51 | 50% 3424-3398 (6822) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 52% 3641-3403 (7044) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.7¢ | $4.12 | — | -$4.12 | 44% 1307-1651 (2958) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$505.07
Value
—
PnL
-$493.88
Record
54%
3871-3256 (7127)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$14.12
Value
—
PnL
-$14.12
Record
51%
2012-1937 (3949)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$9.7
Value
—
PnL
-$9.7
Record
54%
2526-2126 (4652)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.64
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.36
Record
62%
4316-2591 (6907)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$3.51
Value
—
PnL
-$3.51
Record
50%
3424-3398 (6822)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
52%
3641-3403 (7044)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$4.12
Value
—
PnL
-$4.12
Record
44%
1307-1651 (2958)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf5018628...a37fae
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794724200