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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 33%

Total Value

$181.46

Combined PnL

-$494.3

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares557
Combined PnL-$509.86
Up8 traders
Total Value$181.46
Total Shares181
Combined PnL+$15.55
Down — 33%Up — 67%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$74.81

Value

$74.96

PnL

+$0.15

Record

39%

1590-2469 (4059)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$27.85

Value

$29.05

PnL

+$1.2

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$21.26

Value

$30.37

PnL

+$9.11

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$14.59

Value

$19.03

PnL

+$4.44

Record

44%

1307-1651 (2958)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

52%

1476-1351 (2827)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.85

Value

—

PnL

-$8.85

Record

44%

2263-2898 (5161)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.05

PnL

+$0.11

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

65%

2592-1424 (4016)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.52

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.48

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.64

Value

—

PnL

-$0.64

Record

33%

1139-2277 (3416)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.37

Value

—

PnL

-$0.37

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x01877e41...2a3962
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794723900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $74.96

+$0.15
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $29.05

+$1.2
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $30.37

+$9.11
13

13897651

Up — $19.03

+$4.44
0X

0x50f7

Up — $15

+$0.02

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.85
AS

asdaefef

Up — $6.05

+$0.11
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

+$0.05
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2

+$0.48
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