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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Up 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$662.36

Combined PnL

-$23.95

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares51

Combined PnL-$36.78

Up4 traders

Total Value$27.36

Total Shares27

Combined PnL+$12.83

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$507.2	$500	+$0.3	54% 3871-3256 (7127)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.4¢	$249.64	—	-$249.7
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$135	-$7.9	52% 3641-3403 (7044)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$67.5	$135	+$65.5
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$72.5	—	-$73.4
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 48.4¢	$38.14	—	-$38.14	50% 3424-3398 (6822)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 52.5¢	$5.25	$10	+$4.75	44% 1307-1651 (2958)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 66¢	$6.02	$6.36	+$0.34	62% 4316-2591 (6907)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 27¢	$2.7	$10	+$7.3	48% 2352-2543 (4895)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 56¢	$0.56	$1	+$0.44	60% 3969-2697 (6666)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 39.1¢	$32.86	—	+$1.35	54% 2526-2126 (4652)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$507.2

Value

$500

PnL

+$0.3

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$249.6450.4¢-$249.7

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$135

PnL

-$7.9

Record

52%

3641-3403 (7044)

Both legs:

Up$67.550¢+$65.5

Down$72.550¢-$73.4

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$38.14

Value

—

PnL

-$38.14

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

Invested

$5.25

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.75

Record

44%

1307-1651 (2958)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.02

Value

$6.36

PnL

+$0.34

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.3

Record

48%

2352-2543 (4895)

Invested

$0.56

Value

$1

PnL

+$0.44

Record

60%

3969-2697 (6666)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$32.86

Value

—

PnL

+$1.35

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa0f96310...be6376

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794723600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $10

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6.36

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $10

aaa221

Up — $1

ply-pm2

Down — $0

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