Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 38%

Total Value

$131.01

Combined PnL

-$504.12

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares631

Combined PnL-$539.95

Up8 traders

Total Value$131.01

Total Shares131

Combined PnL+$35.82

Down — 38%Up — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$506.22	—	-$498.88	54% 3871-3256 (7127)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$30.69	$62	+$31.31	51% 2012-1937 (3949)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$23	—	-$23	54% 2526-2126 (4652)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 87.1¢	$26.48	$24	-$2.48	44% 1307-1651 (2958)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 88.5¢	$15.09	$17	+$1.91	50% 3424-3398 (6822)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$13.5	—	-$13.5	60% 3969-2697 (6666)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 90¢	$5.52	$6.13	+$0.61	65% 2592-1424 (4016)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	43% 1894-2540 (4434)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 95¢	$4.9	$5.16	+$0.26	67% 3669-1840 (5509)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 67¢	$5.03	$7.5	+$2.47	44% 2263-2898 (5161)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 61.5¢	$4.44	$3.22	+$1.68	62% 4316-2591 (6907)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$0.34	—	-$0.34	33% 1139-2277 (3416)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 9.4¢	$4.22	—	-$4.22	39% 1590-2469 (4059)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$506.22

Value

—

PnL

-$498.88

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$30.69

Value

$62

PnL

+$31.31

Record

51%

2012-1937 (3949)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$23

Value

—

PnL

-$23

Record

54%

2526-2126 (4652)

Invested

$26.48

Value

$24

PnL

-$2.48

Record

44%

1307-1651 (2958)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$15.09

Value

$17

PnL

+$1.91

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

Invested

$13.5

Value

—

PnL

-$13.5

Record

60%

3969-2697 (6666)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.52

Value

$6.13

PnL

+$0.61

Record

65%

2592-1424 (4016)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.16

PnL

+$0.26

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$5.03

Value

$7.5

PnL

+$2.47

Record

44%

2263-2898 (5161)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.44

Value

$3.22

PnL

+$1.68

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.34

Value

—

PnL

-$0.34

Record

33%

1139-2277 (3416)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.22

Value

—

PnL

-$4.22

Record

39%

1590-2469 (4059)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xf6a9ab2d...432826

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794723300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $62

ply-pm2

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $24

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $17

aaa221

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $6.13

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

asdaefef

Up — $5.16

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $7.5

Trade on Polymarket