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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 46%

Total Value

$264.88

Combined PnL

-$520.12

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares765

Combined PnL-$523.32

Down7 traders

Total Value$264.88

Total Shares265

Combined PnL+$3.2

Up — 46%Down — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.2¢	$501	—	-$497	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 97.7¢	$113.34	$116	+$2.66	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$66.63	$67.3	+$0.67	98% 4086-84 (4170)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 82.9¢	$34.06	$32.47	-$1.59	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 80.7¢	$26.13	$26	-$0.13	44% 1294-1645 (2939)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$12.75	—	-$12.75	49% 1398-1473 (2871)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 94¢	$10.7	$10.11	-$0.59	65% 2580-1409 (3989)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 82.8¢	$9.11	$11	+$1.89	50% 1655-1677 (3332)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1	—	-$1	50% 889-885 (1774)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 85¢	$1.7	$2	+$0.3	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 4.2¢	$1.87	—	-$1.87	33% 1131-2266 (3397)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$6.34	—	-$6.34	39% 1577-2453 (4030)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 18.5¢	$4.36	—	-$4.36	52% 3621-3392 (7013)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$501

Value

—

PnL

-$497

Record

54%

3849-3219 (7068)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$113.34

Value

$116

PnL

+$2.66

Record

43%

1879-2519 (4398)

Invested

$66.63

Value

$67.3

PnL

+$0.67

Record

98%

4086-84 (4170)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$34.06

Value

$32.47

PnL

-$1.59

Record

50%

3397-3361 (6758)

Invested

$26.13

Value

$26

PnL

-$0.13

Record

44%

1294-1645 (2939)

Invested

$12.75

Value

—

PnL

-$12.75

Record

49%

1398-1473 (2871)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$10.7

Value

$10.11

PnL

-$0.59

Record

65%

2580-1409 (3989)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$9.11

Value

$11

PnL

+$1.89

Record

50%

1655-1677 (3332)

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

50%

889-885 (1774)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.7

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.3

Record

62%

4286-2574 (6860)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.87

Value

—

PnL

-$1.87

Record

33%

1131-2266 (3397)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$6.34

Value

—

PnL

-$6.34

Record

39%

1577-2453 (4030)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$4.36

Value

—

PnL

-$4.36

Record

52%

3621-3392 (7013)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x10240ffb...4c55df

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794722400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $116

hoodquant

Down — $67.3

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $32.47

13897651

Down — $26

PBot-5

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $10.11

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $11

PBot-6

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

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