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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$743.73

Combined PnL

$0.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$93.73

Total Shares94

Combined PnL+$22.99

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares50

Combined PnL-$22

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$505	$505	+$4.15	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$252.5	$505	+$252.5
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.5	—	-$248.35
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$145	+$8	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$72.5	$145	+$72.45
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$60	—	-$64.45
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 56.5¢	$22.74	$23.7	+$0.96	44% 1294-1645 (2939)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 57.7¢	$19.32	$33.49	+$14.17	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 50.9¢	$17.8	—	-$17.8	60% 3949-2687 (6636)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 56.8¢	$12.54	$14.19	+$1.65	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 61¢	$5.24	$5	-$0.24	39% 1577-2453 (4030)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 48.2¢	$4.28	$6.35	+$2.14	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	50% 2598-2611 (5209)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 29¢	$1.74	$6	+$4.26	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 28¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	44% 2246-2882 (5128)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505

Value

$505

PnL

+$4.15

Record

54%

3849-3219 (7068)

Both legs:

Up$252.550¢+$252.5

Down$247.550¢-$248.35

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$145

PnL

+$8

Record

52%

3621-3392 (7013)

Both legs:

Up$72.550¢+$72.45

Down$6050¢-$64.45

Invested

$22.74

Value

$23.7

PnL

+$0.96

Record

44%

1294-1645 (2939)

Invested

$19.32

Value

$33.49

PnL

+$14.17

Record

54%

2509-2112 (4621)

Invested

$17.8

Value

—

PnL

-$17.8

Record

60%

3949-2687 (6636)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$12.54

Value

$14.19

PnL

+$1.65

Record

50%

3397-3361 (6758)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$5.24

Value

$5

PnL

-$0.24

Record

39%

1577-2453 (4030)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.28

Value

$6.35

PnL

+$2.14

Record

62%

4286-2574 (6860)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

2598-2611 (5209)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.74

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.26

Record

43%

1879-2519 (4398)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

44%

2246-2882 (5128)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x01fdd5e4...e3ccf1

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794720900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Up — $23.7

ply-pm2

Up — $33.49

aaa221

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $14.19

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6.35

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

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