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UpDownDownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$13.26
Combined PnL
-$502.35
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares611
Combined PnL-$506.96
Down3 traders
Total Value$13.26
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$4.61
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $502.65 | — | -$502.65 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.69 | $5.09 | +$2.4 | 44% 1294-1645 (2939) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $4.68 | $6 | +$1.32 | 54% 2509-2112 (4621) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 43% 1879-2519 (4398) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $1.28 | $2.17 | +$0.89 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.1¢ | $1.49 | — | -$1.49 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$502.65
Value
—
PnL
-$502.65
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$2.69
Value
$5.09
PnL
+$2.4
Record
44%
1294-1645 (2939)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.32
Record
54%
2509-2112 (4621)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
43%
1879-2519 (4398)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$1.28
Value
$2.17
PnL
+$0.89
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.49
Value
—
PnL
-$1.49
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ccb64b7...04fc57
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794720600