Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Up 46%
$211.36
-$512.03
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $501 | — | -$499.72 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$0.5 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $17.6 | $20 | +$2.4 | 60% 3949-2687 (6636) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $14.56 | $16.36 | +$1.8 | 54% 2509-2112 (4621) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $15.2 | $10 | -$5.2 | 44% 1294-1645 (2939) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $7.7 | $7.5 | -$0.2 | 39% 1577-2453 (4030) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 44% 2246-2882 (5128) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $1.28 | $2 | +$0.72 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 50% 1655-1677 (3332) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $0.45 | $0.5 | +$0.05 | 47% 2247-2492 (4739) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.2¢ | $1.48 | — | -$1.48 | 43% 1879-2519 (4398) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 33% 1131-2266 (3397) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.6¢ | $8.48 | — | -$8.48 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
Invested
$501
Value
—
PnL
-$499.72
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$0.5
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
Invested
$17.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.4
Record
60%
3949-2687 (6636)
Invested
$14.56
Value
$16.36
PnL
+$1.8
Record
54%
2509-2112 (4621)
Invested
$15.2
Value
$10
PnL
-$5.2
Record
44%
1294-1645 (2939)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
$7.5
PnL
-$0.2
Record
39%
1577-2453 (4030)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
44%
2246-2882 (5128)
Invested
$1.28
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.72
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
50%
1655-1677 (3332)
ohioism<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
$0.5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
47%
2247-2492 (4739)
Invested
$1.48
Value
—
PnL
-$1.48
Record
43%
1879-2519 (4398)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
33%
1131-2266 (3397)
Invested
$8.48
Value
—
PnL
-$8.48
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)