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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$751.07

Combined PnL

-$0.46

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$251.07

Total Shares251

Combined PnL+$14.97

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares110

Combined PnL-$15.44

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$2	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	—	-$248
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$1	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$38.95	$39	+$0.05	52% 1470-1346 (2816)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 72.4¢	$30.75	$42.49	+$11.74	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 9.4¢	$11.07	—	-$11.07	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 90¢	$5.64	$6.27	+$0.63	65% 2580-1409 (3989)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 90¢	$5.64	$6.27	+$0.63	67% 3650-1820 (5470)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 82¢	$4.27	$5	+$0.73	44% 1294-1645 (2939)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 9.3¢	$3.07	—	-$3.07	39% 1577-2453 (4030)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 90¢	$1.84	$2.04	+$0.2	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.1	—	-$0.1	33% 1131-2266 (3397)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$2

Record

54%

3849-3219 (7068)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$24550¢-$248

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$1

Record

52%

3621-3392 (7013)

Invested

$38.95

Value

$39

PnL

+$0.05

Record

52%

1470-1346 (2816)

Invested

$30.75

Value

$42.49

PnL

+$11.74

Record

54%

2509-2112 (4621)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$11.07

Value

—

PnL

-$11.07

Record

50%

3397-3361 (6758)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.64

Value

$6.27

PnL

+$0.63

Record

65%

2580-1409 (3989)

Invested

$5.64

Value

$6.27

PnL

+$0.63

Record

67%

3650-1820 (5470)

Invested

$4.27

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.73

Record

44%

1294-1645 (2939)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

43%

1879-2519 (4398)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.07

Value

—

PnL

-$3.07

Record

39%

1577-2453 (4030)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.84

Value

$2.04

PnL

+$0.2

Record

62%

4286-2574 (6860)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

33%

1131-2266 (3397)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb4483ea5...bfc510

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794719700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

0x50f7

Up — $39

ply-pm2

Up — $42.49

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $6.27

asdaefef

Up — $6.27

13897651

Up — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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