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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$598.84

Combined PnL

-$47.16

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$103.84

Total Shares104

Combined PnL+$27.59

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares105

Combined PnL-$74.75

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$508.88	$495	-$4.85	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.5¢	$252.4	—	-$250.8
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$246.45	$495	+$245.95
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 59.9¢	$40.1	$50	+$10.8	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 73.5¢	$36.96	—	-$36.96	54% 2509-2112 (4621)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 22.3¢	$20.29	—	-$20.29	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 47.1¢	$17.5	—	-$17.5	44% 1294-1645 (2939)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 22¢	$3.3	$15	+$11.7	44% 2246-2882 (5128)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98¢	$11.76	$12	+$0.24	67% 3650-1820 (5470)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 54.5¢	$10.86	$8.86	-$0.34	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 85.1¢	$5.99	$7.04	+$1.05	51% 1998-1928 (3926)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	65% 2580-1409 (3989)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 31.2¢	$1.85	$5.94	+$4.09	39% 1577-2453 (4030)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$508.88

Value

$495

PnL

-$4.85

Record

54%

3849-3219 (7068)

Both legs:

Down$252.450.5¢-$250.8

Up$246.4549.8¢+$245.95

Invested

$40.1

Value

$50

PnL

+$10.8

Record

52%

3621-3392 (7013)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$36.96

Value

—

PnL

-$36.96

Record

54%

2509-2112 (4621)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$20.29

Value

—

PnL

-$20.29

Record

50%

3397-3361 (6758)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$17.5

Value

—

PnL

-$17.5

Record

44%

1294-1645 (2939)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$3.3

Value

$15

PnL

+$11.7

Record

44%

2246-2882 (5128)

Invested

$11.76

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.24

Record

67%

3650-1820 (5470)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$10.86

Value

$8.86

PnL

-$0.34

Record

62%

4286-2574 (6860)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$5.99

Value

$7.04

PnL

+$1.05

Record

51%

1998-1928 (3926)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

65%

2580-1409 (3989)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

$5.94

PnL

+$4.09

Record

39%

1577-2453 (4030)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc4a5b780...bf2ee3

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794719400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $50

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

13897651

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15

asdaefef

Up — $12

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $8.86

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $7.04

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

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