Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 83%
1 arb excluded
$753.71
$31.06
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $503.9 | $498 | +$6.2 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $247.93 | $498 | +$254.9 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.5 | — | -$248.7 | |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96.2¢ | $68.89 | $71.6 | +$2.71 | 33% 1131-2266 (3397) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $65.19 | $65.26 | +$0.07 | 52% 1470-1346 (2816) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $27.61 | $31 | +$3.39 | 39% 1577-2453 (4030) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $7.16 | $9 | +$1.84 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49.1¢ | $16.19 | $33 | +$16.81 | 51% 1998-1928 (3926) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $18.69 | $21.72 | +$3.03 | 44% 1294-1645 (2939) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $9.89 | $12 | +$2.11 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3¢ | $2.56 | — | -$2.56 | 50% 1655-1677 (3332) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.25 | $5.12 | +$0.87 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 43% 1879-2519 (4398) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $3.25 | $5 | +$1.75 | 54% 2509-2112 (4621) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.56 | $2 | +$1.16 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
Invested
$503.9
Value
$498
PnL
+$6.2
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$68.89
Value
$71.6
PnL
+$2.71
Record
33%
1131-2266 (3397)
Invested
$65.19
Value
$65.26
PnL
+$0.07
Record
52%
1470-1346 (2816)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$27.61
Value
$31
PnL
+$3.39
Record
39%
1577-2453 (4030)
Invested
$7.16
Value
$9
PnL
+$1.84
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
Invested
$16.19
Value
$33
PnL
+$16.81
Record
51%
1998-1928 (3926)
Invested
$18.69
Value
$21.72
PnL
+$3.03
Record
44%
1294-1645 (2939)
Invested
$9.89
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.11
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
50%
1655-1677 (3332)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$0.87
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
43%
1879-2519 (4398)
Invested
$3.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.75
Record
54%
2509-2112 (4621)
Invested
$2.56
Value
$2
PnL
+$1.16
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
Down — $71.6
0x50f7
Down — $65.26
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $31
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $9
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $33
13897651
Down — $21.72
soswald1
Down — $12
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $5.12