Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 64%
1 arb excluded
$784.13
$1.82
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $526.91 | $500.4 | +$3.14 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.5¢ | $252.52 | $500.4 | +$251.15 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.6¢ | $245.87 | — | -$248.01 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $153.6 | $140 | +$4.34 | 52% 3603-3367 (6970) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $45.6 | $60 | +$14.4 | 51% 1980-1923 (3903) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.6¢ | $33.29 | — | -$33.29 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 46.4¢ | $15.87 | $25 | +$9.13 | 44% 1281-1640 (2921) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $16.8 | $34.42 | +$17.61 | 54% 2490-2100 (4590) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.4¢ | $15.22 | $14.05 | -$1.17 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 48% 2317-2509 (4826) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 44% 2227-2869 (5096) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $3.27 | $5.27 | +$2 | 60% 3927-2670 (6597) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 47% 2327-2591 (4918) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $6.75 | — | -$6.75 | 47% 2226-2478 (4704) |
Invested
$526.91
Value
$500.4
PnL
+$3.14
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Both legs:
Invested
$153.6
Value
$140
PnL
+$4.34
Record
52%
3603-3367 (6970)
Invested
$45.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$14.4
Record
51%
1980-1923 (3903)
Invested
$33.29
Value
—
PnL
-$33.29
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Invested
$15.87
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.13
Record
44%
1281-1640 (2921)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$34.42
PnL
+$17.61
Record
54%
2490-2100 (4590)
Invested
$15.22
Value
$14.05
PnL
-$1.17
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
48%
2317-2509 (4826)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
44%
2227-2869 (5096)
Invested
$3.27
Value
$5.27
PnL
+$2
Record
60%
3927-2670 (6597)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
47%
2327-2591 (4918)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
—
PnL
-$6.75
Record
47%
2226-2478 (4704)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $140
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $60
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $25
ply-pm2
Down — $34.42
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $14.05
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $5.27