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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 42%

Total Value

$144.02

Combined PnL

-$482.56

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares576
Combined PnL-$495.01
Up7 traders
Total Value$144.02
Total Shares144
Combined PnL+$12.45
Down — 42%Up — 58%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$505.05

Value

—

PnL

-$489.8

Record

54%

3808-3199 (7007)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$55.51

Value

$58.51

PnL

+$3.01

Record

50%

3372-3320 (6692)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$40.08

Value

$41.75

PnL

+$1.67

Record

44%

1281-1640 (2921)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$13.02

Value

$20.61

PnL

+$7.59

Record

52%

3603-3367 (6970)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$13.27

Value

$8.1

PnL

-$0.16

Record

62%

4256-2556 (6812)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.04

PnL

+$0.09

Record

67%

3623-1806 (5429)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.15

Record

65%

2569-1402 (3971)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

50%

2579-2590 (5169)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.7

Value

—

PnL

-$0.7

Record

39%

1562-2438 (4000)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.96

Value

—

PnL

-$0.96

Record

43%

1865-2503 (4368)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.28

Value

—

PnL

-$3.28

Record

54%

2490-2100 (4590)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.27

Value

—

PnL

-$0.27

Record

33%

1127-2251 (3378)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x300e432b...e123e7
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794717900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$489.8
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $58.51

+$3.01
13

13897651

Up — $41.75

+$1.67
SO

soswald1

Up — $20.61

+$7.59
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $8.1

-$0.16
AS

asdaefef

Up — $5.04

+$0.09
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

+$0.15
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

+$0.1

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.7
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.96
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