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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 36%

Total Value

$87.04

Combined PnL

-$516.36

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares658

Combined PnL-$516.65

Up7 traders

Total Value$87.04

Total Shares87

Combined PnL+$0.29

Down — 36%Up — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.8¢	$504.4	—	-$496.9	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98¢	$37.24	$38	+$0.76	98% 3999-84 (4083)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 75.4¢	$25.73	$23.02	-$2.71	44% 1266-1632 (2898)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 93.6¢	$5.64	$6.02	+$0.38	63% 4221-2527 (6748)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 94¢	$4.7	$5	+$0.3	67% 3590-1785 (5375)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 93¢	$4.65	$5	+$0.35	50% 2549-2566 (5115)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 73¢	$3.84	$5	+$1.16	54% 2461-2088 (4549)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	65% 2545-1392 (3937)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$2.72	—	-$2.72	33% 1116-2237 (3353)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 16.1¢	$17.67	—	-$13.42	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 14.3¢	$3.62	—	-$3.62	39% 1545-2411 (3956)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$504.4

Value

—

PnL

-$496.9

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

Invested

$37.24

Value

$38

PnL

+$0.76

Record

98%

3999-84 (4083)

Invested

$25.73

Value

$23.02

PnL

-$2.71

Record

44%

1266-1632 (2898)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$5.64

Value

$6.02

PnL

+$0.38

Record

63%

4221-2527 (6748)

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.3

Record

67%

3590-1785 (5375)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.35

Record

50%

2549-2566 (5115)

Invested

$3.84

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.16

Record

54%

2461-2088 (4549)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

65%

2545-1392 (3937)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.72

Value

—

PnL

-$2.72

Record

33%

1116-2237 (3353)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$17.67

Value

—

PnL

-$13.42

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.62

Value

—

PnL

-$3.62

Record

39%

1545-2411 (3956)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6c842954...1d4861

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794715500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $38

13897651

Up — $23.02

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6.02

asdaefef

Up — $5

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

ply-pm2

Up — $5

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

pspspsps5

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

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