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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$54.34

Combined PnL

-$530.38

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares641

Combined PnL-$555.69

Down5 traders

Total Value$54.34

Total Shares54

Combined PnL+$25.31

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50.6¢	$510.75	—	-$504.75	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 56.8¢	$21.73	$27.34	+$5.61	44% 1266-1632 (2898)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 27.7¢	$28.87	—	-$27.02	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 22.7¢	$7.71	$12	+$13.89	39% 1545-2411 (3956)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 84.9¢	$18.97	—	-$18.97	54% 2461-2088 (4549)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 24¢	$1.44	$6	+$4.56	42% 1826-2483 (4309)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 67¢	$3.35	$5	+$1.65	52% 3571-3339 (6910)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$4	—	-$4	51% 1975-1916 (3891)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 67¢	$4.44	$4	-$0.4	63% 4221-2527 (6748)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.6¢	$0.65	—	-$0.65	33% 1116-2237 (3353)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	50% 1631-1654 (3285)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$510.75

Value

—

PnL

-$504.75

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

Invested

$21.73

Value

$27.34

PnL

+$5.61

Record

44%

1266-1632 (2898)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$28.87

Value

—

PnL

-$27.02

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$7.71

Value

$12

PnL

+$13.89

Record

39%

1545-2411 (3956)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$18.97

Value

—

PnL

-$18.97

Record

54%

2461-2088 (4549)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.44

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.56

Record

42%

1826-2483 (4309)

Invested

$3.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.65

Record

52%

3571-3339 (6910)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

51%

1975-1916 (3891)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.44

Value

$4

PnL

-$0.4

Record

63%

4221-2527 (6748)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.65

Value

—

PnL

-$0.65

Record

33%

1116-2237 (3353)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.3

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

50%

1631-1654 (3285)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfecd4b9d...f58241

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794715200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $27.34

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $12

ply-pm2

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

soswald1

Down — $5

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $4

pspspsps5

Up — $0

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