Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$718.97
-$41.58
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 51.3Β’ | $532.46 | $494.38 | -$0.77 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 51.3Β’ | $253.75 | $494.38 | +$246.28 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.1Β’ | $240.43 | β | -$247.05 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $150 | $145 | +$8.24 | 52% 3571-3339 (6910) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 68.4Β’ | $28.91 | $30.52 | +$1.61 | 44% 1266-1632 (2898) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.2Β’ | $28.32 | β | -$28.32 | 54% 2461-2088 (4549) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.5Β’ | $19.01 | β | -$19.01 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $15.5 | $31 | +$15.5 | 51% 1975-1916 (3891) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.3Β’ | $17.28 | β | -$17.28 | 50% 1631-1654 (3285) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $7.92 | $11 | +$3.08 | 44% 2198-2839 (5037) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72.5Β’ | $12.07 | $7.07 | -$2.3 | 63% 4221-2527 (6748) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 25Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 39% 1545-2411 (3956) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 22Β’ | $1.32 | β | -$1.32 | 42% 1826-2483 (4309) |
Invested
$532.46
Value
$494.38
PnL
-$0.77
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$145
PnL
+$8.24
Record
52%
3571-3339 (6910)
Invested
$28.91
Value
$30.52
PnL
+$1.61
Record
44%
1266-1632 (2898)
Invested
$28.32
Value
β
PnL
-$28.32
Record
54%
2461-2088 (4549)
Invested
$19.01
Value
β
PnL
-$19.01
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$31
PnL
+$15.5
Record
51%
1975-1916 (3891)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$17.28
Value
β
PnL
-$17.28
Record
50%
1631-1654 (3285)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$11
PnL
+$3.08
Record
44%
2198-2839 (5037)
Invested
$12.07
Value
$7.07
PnL
-$2.3
Record
63%
4221-2527 (6748)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
39%
1545-2411 (3956)
Invested
$1.32
Value
β
PnL
-$1.32
Record
42%
1826-2483 (4309)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
soswald1
Up β $145
13897651
Up β $30.52
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $31

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $11
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $7.07

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0