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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$766.43

Combined PnL

-$25.48

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$116.43

Total Shares116

Combined PnL+$13.96

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares147

Combined PnL-$39.44

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$505.2	$500	+$10.25	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250.2	$500	+$254.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	—	-$244.3
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$16.45	52% 3571-3339 (6910)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$75	$150	+$75
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$60	—	-$58.55
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 80.3¢	$16.38	$15.43	-$0.95	44% 1266-1632 (2898)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 76.8¢	$37.39	$48.66	+$11.27	54% 2461-2088 (4549)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 98¢	$29.4	$30	+$0.6	51% 1975-1916 (3891)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 88.1¢	$11.58	$13.15	+$1.57	63% 4221-2527 (6748)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$12.75	—	-$12.75	49% 1355-1438 (2793)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 84¢	$7.72	$9.19	+$1.47	60% 3891-2648 (6539)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$1.61	—	-$1.61	50% 1631-1654 (3285)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 18.2¢	$13.57	—	-$5.85	39% 1545-2411 (3956)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 18.4¢	$15.48	—	-$15.48	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 25¢	$3.75	—	-$3.75	47% 2305-2557 (4862)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.2

Value

$500

PnL

+$10.25

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

Both legs:

Up$250.250¢+$254.55

Down$24550¢-$244.3

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$16.45

Record

52%

3571-3339 (6910)

Both legs:

Down$6050¢-$58.55

Invested

$16.38

Value

$15.43

PnL

-$0.95

Record

44%

1266-1632 (2898)

Invested

$37.39

Value

$48.66

PnL

+$11.27

Record

54%

2461-2088 (4549)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$29.4

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.6

Record

51%

1975-1916 (3891)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$11.58

Value

$13.15

PnL

+$1.57

Record

63%

4221-2527 (6748)

Invested

$12.75

Value

—

PnL

-$12.75

Record

49%

1355-1438 (2793)

Invested

$7.72

Value

$9.19

PnL

+$1.47

Record

60%

3891-2648 (6539)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.61

Value

—

PnL

-$1.61

Record

50%

1631-1654 (3285)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$13.57

Value

—

PnL

-$5.85

Record

39%

1545-2411 (3956)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$15.48

Value

—

PnL

-$15.48

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

47%

2305-2557 (4862)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd04cb82e...80103e

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794712200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Up — $15.43

ply-pm2

Up — $48.66

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $30

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $13.15

PBot-5

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $9.19

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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