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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Down 44%

Total Value

$205.91

Combined PnL

-$576.88

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 16 top traders (44%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,001
Combined PnL-$606.32
Up9 traders
Total Value$205.91
Total Shares206
Combined PnL+$29.44
Down — 44%Up — 56%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$511.82

Value

—

PnL

-$491.77

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$95.23

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$84.9

Value

$93.65

PnL

+$8.75

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$37.76

Value

$41.13

PnL

+$3.37

Record

44%

1260-1624 (2884)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$14.45

Value

$25

PnL

+$10.55

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$13.5

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.5

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$9

Value

$10

PnL

+$1

Record

54%

2440-2083 (4523)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.32

Value

—

PnL

-$2.32

Record

33%

1106-2226 (3332)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$3.48

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.52

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$5.46

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.54

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.61

Record

67%

3569-1770 (5339)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$17.57

Value

—

PnL

-$12.62

Record

39%

1532-2394 (3926)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$9.77

Value

$4.02

PnL

+$0.6

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.59

Value

—

PnL

-$3.59

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.78

Value

—

PnL

-$0.78

Record

51%

4740-4541 (9281)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

37%

1401-2422 (3823)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x71fbbe7e...d041b0
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794711600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$491.77
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$95.23
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $93.65

+$8.75
13

13897651

Up — $41.13

+$3.37

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $25

+$10.55

ohioism

Up — $15

+$1.5
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $10

+$1

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.32
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $6

+$2.52
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $6

+$0.54
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