Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 78%
1 arb excluded
$824.31
$30.45
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $502.8 | $495.19 | +$4.34 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $150 | $150 | +$1.5 | 52% 3571-3339 (6910) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $75 | $150 | +$75 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $72.5 | β | -$73.5 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $87.12 | $88 | +$0.88 | 98% 3999-84 (4083) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 58.8Β’ | $30.62 | $52.12 | +$21.5 | 54% 2461-2088 (4549) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 93.5Β’ | $18.69 | $20 | +$1.31 | 39% 1545-2411 (3956) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $5.77 | $10 | +$4.23 | 44% 1266-1632 (2898) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.3Β’ | $4.45 | $4 | +$0.43 | 63% 4221-2527 (6748) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 67% 3590-1785 (5375) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 15Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 50% 1631-1654 (3285) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.4Β’ | $1.43 | β | -$1.43 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
Invested
$502.8
Value
$495.19
PnL
+$4.34
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$1.5
Record
52%
3571-3339 (6910)
Both legs:
Invested
$87.12
Value
$88
PnL
+$0.88
Record
98%
3999-84 (4083)
Invested
$30.62
Value
$52.12
PnL
+$21.5
Record
54%
2461-2088 (4549)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$18.69
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.31
Record
39%
1545-2411 (3956)
Invested
$5.77
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.23
Record
44%
1266-1632 (2898)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.43
Record
63%
4221-2527 (6748)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
67%
3590-1785 (5375)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
50%
1631-1654 (3285)
Invested
$1.43
Value
β
PnL
-$1.43
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $495.19
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
hoodquant
Up β $88
ply-pm2
Up β $52.12

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $20
13897651
Up β $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $4
asdaefef
Up β $5

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0