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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

$14.3

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,275

Combined PnL+$17.31

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares105

Combined PnL-$3.01

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 97.9¢	$634.13	$647.99	+$13.86	42% 1805-2456 (4261)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$3.76	52% 3555-3314 (6869)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$75	$150	+$75
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$62.14	—	-$71.24
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 97¢	$48.5	$50	+$1.5	54% 2440-2083 (4523)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 97¢	$43.36	$44.7	+$1.34	33% 1106-2226 (3332)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 97¢	$26.06	$25	-$1.06	44% 1260-1624 (2884)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 73¢	$3.65	$5	+$1.35	44% 2183-2822 (5005)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 84.4¢	$1.72	$2.04	+$0.32	63% 4195-2511 (6706)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 1.6¢	$1.17	—	-$1.17	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 5.6¢	$1.84	—	-$1.84	39% 1532-2394 (3926)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$634.13

Value

$647.99

PnL

+$13.86

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$3.76

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

Both legs:

Down$62.1450¢-$71.24

Invested

$48.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$1.5

Record

54%

2440-2083 (4523)

Invested

$43.36

Value

$44.7

PnL

+$1.34

Record

33%

1106-2226 (3332)

Invested

$26.06

Value

$25

PnL

-$1.06

Record

44%

1260-1624 (2884)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$3.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.35

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.72

Value

$2.04

PnL

+$0.32

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$1.17

Value

—

PnL

-$1.17

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.84

Value

—

PnL

-$1.84

Record

39%

1532-2394 (3926)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x340b29cb...0be5e6

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794708300

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $647.99

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $50

pspspsps5

Up — $44.7

13897651

Up — $25

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2.04

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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