Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$751.32
-$23.96
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $497.55 | -$0.91 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $150 | $150 | +$15.31 | 52% 3555-3314 (6869) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $75 | $150 | +$75 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $58 | β | -$59.69 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.8Β’ | $47.02 | β | -$47.02 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 44.4Β’ | $32.86 | $40.59 | +$7.74 | 44% 1260-1624 (2884) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 87.2Β’ | $23.6 | $27.06 | +$3.46 | 39% 1532-2394 (3926) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 39.8Β’ | $10 | $25.13 | +$15.13 | 48% 1343-1431 (2774) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76.6Β’ | $13.6 | $8.15 | -$0.55 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 33% 1106-2226 (3332) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $2.22 | $2.84 | +$0.62 | 54% 2440-2083 (4523) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 22Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 44% 2183-2822 (5005) |
Invested
$500
Value
$497.55
PnL
-$0.91
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$15.31
Record
52%
3555-3314 (6869)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.02
Value
β
PnL
-$47.02
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$32.86
Value
$40.59
PnL
+$7.74
Record
44%
1260-1624 (2884)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$23.6
Value
$27.06
PnL
+$3.46
Record
39%
1532-2394 (3926)
Invested
$10
Value
$25.13
PnL
+$15.13
Record
48%
1343-1431 (2774)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$8.15
PnL
-$0.55
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
33%
1106-2226 (3332)
Invested
$2.22
Value
$2.84
PnL
+$0.62
Record
54%
2440-2083 (4523)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
44%
2183-2822 (5005)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $497.55
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
13897651
Up β $40.59

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $27.06
PBot-5
Up β $25.13
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $8.15

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm2
Up β $2.84

G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown β $0