Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 46%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

-$0.67

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 13 top traders (46%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,254

Combined PnL+$29.82

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,000

Combined PnL-$30.49

Down — 46%Up — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$509.12	$491.53	+$0.21	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.7¢	$245.02	—	-$248.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$246.61	$491.53	+$248.43
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.6¢	$805.3	$817	+$11.7	98% 3966-84 (4050)
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99¢	$381.15	$385	+$3.85	52% 1439-1341 (2780)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 1.7¢	$68.14	—	-$0.12	54% 2440-2083 (4523)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$115	-$8.66	52% 3555-3314 (6869)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$57.5	$115	+$57.6
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$52.46	—	-$66.26
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 61.4¢	$57.26	$57.84	+$0.58	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
└ Down leg	Downavg 61.4¢	$35.52	$57.84	+$22.32
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.1¢	$21.74	—	-$21.74
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 60.1¢	$40.02	$46.42	+$6.4	44% 1260-1624 (2884)
└ Up leg	Upavg 22.1¢	$12.1	—	-$12.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.1¢	$27.92	$46.42	+$18.5
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 68¢	$21.6	$31.76	+$10.16	49% 2374-2443 (4817)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 36.4¢	$10.42	—	-$10.42	39% 1532-2394 (3926)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 99¢	$9.9	$10	+$0.1	50% 1618-1648 (3266)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 53.6¢	$13.39	—	-$5.3	63% 4195-2511 (6706)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 72¢	$3.6	$5	+$1.4	52% 2790-2541 (5331)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 48¢	$2.4	$5	+$2.6	47% 2185-2435 (4620)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$8	—	-$8	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.6	—	-$1.6	50% 2527-2554 (5081)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 1.6¢	$1.95	—	-$1.95	67% 3569-1770 (5339)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 28.2¢	$3.1	—	-$3.1	42% 1805-2456 (4261)