Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 53%
1 arb excluded
$730.47
-$74.99
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $511.91 | $490.22 | -$3.93 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.1¢ | $240.92 | $490.22 | +$242.47 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.2¢ | $248.28 | — | -$246.4 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $107.99 | $119.2 | +$11.22 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 72.6¢ | $56.64 | — | -$53.74 | 52% 3521-3295 (6816) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $57.33 | — | -$57.33 | 44% 1244-1613 (2857) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 25.8¢ | $6.45 | $25 | +$18.55 | 47% 2170-2411 (4581) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 86.2¢ | $18.3 | $21.22 | +$2.92 | 50% 1607-1638 (3245) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $3.45 | $15 | +$11.55 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 73.7¢ | $15.99 | — | -$15.99 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $11.16 | $11.27 | +$0.11 | 98% 3919-84 (4003) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $7.36 | $8.18 | +$0.82 | 50% 2497-2540 (5037) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 52% 2764-2526 (5290) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $4.78 | — | -$4.78 | 39% 1501-2385 (3886) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 31.6¢ | $3.79 | $12 | +$8.21 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $0.88 | $3.38 | +$2.5 | 51% 1955-1898 (3853) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 33.8¢ | $8.45 | $25 | +$16.55 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $4.63 | — | -$4.63 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $2.52 | — | -$2.52 | 67% 3532-1757 (5289) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 64% 2500-1377 (3877) |
Invested
$511.91
Value
$490.22
PnL
-$3.93
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Both legs:
Invested
$107.99
Value
$119.2
PnL
+$11.22
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Invested
$56.64
Value
—
PnL
-$53.74
Record
52%
3521-3295 (6816)
Invested
$57.33
Value
—
PnL
-$57.33
Record
44%
1244-1613 (2857)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.45
Value
$25
PnL
+$18.55
Record
47%
2170-2411 (4581)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.3
Value
$21.22
PnL
+$2.92
Record
50%
1607-1638 (3245)
Invested
$3.45
Value
$15
PnL
+$11.55
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
Invested
$15.99
Value
—
PnL
-$15.99
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
Invested
$11.16
Value
$11.27
PnL
+$0.11
Record
98%
3919-84 (4003)
Invested
$7.36
Value
$8.18
PnL
+$0.82
Record
50%
2497-2540 (5037)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
52%
2764-2526 (5290)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.78
Value
—
PnL
-$4.78
Record
39%
1501-2385 (3886)
Invested
$3.79
Value
$12
PnL
+$8.21
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
Invested
$0.88
Value
$3.38
PnL
+$2.5
Record
51%
1955-1898 (3853)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$25
PnL
+$16.55
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
Invested
$4.63
Value
—
PnL
-$4.63
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
Invested
$2.52
Value
—
PnL
-$2.52
Record
67%
3532-1757 (5289)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
64%
2500-1377 (3877)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $119.2
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
13897651
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $25
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $21.22
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $15
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $11.27
dvasdkasodk
Up — $8.18