Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$787.8
-$28.92
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $511.11 | $495.22 | -$10.48 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.1Β’ | $248.01 | $495.22 | +$246.72 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $257.12 | β | -$257.2 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $150 | $120 | -$14.2 | 52% 3521-3295 (6816) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $64.97 | $66.3 | +$1.33 | 33% 1084-2220 (3304) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 57.6Β’ | $50.4 | $54.19 | +$3.79 | 44% 1244-1613 (2857) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $12.98 | $40.04 | +$50.81 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 80.7Β’ | $21.16 | β | -$17.09 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 61Β’ | $19.49 | β | -$19.49 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 73.7Β’ | $26.04 | β | -$21.14 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.4Β’ | $9.53 | $5.09 | +$0.5 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 64% 2500-1377 (3877) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 12Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $0.96 | $1.96 | +$1 | 51% 1955-1898 (3853) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.2Β’ | $10.37 | β | -$10.37 | 39% 1501-2385 (3886) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8Β’ | $1.15 | β | -$1.15 | 44% 2169-2794 (4963) |
Invested
$511.11
Value
$495.22
PnL
-$10.48
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$120
PnL
-$14.2
Record
52%
3521-3295 (6816)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$64.97
Value
$66.3
PnL
+$1.33
Record
33%
1084-2220 (3304)
Invested
$50.4
Value
$54.19
PnL
+$3.79
Record
44%
1244-1613 (2857)
Invested
$12.98
Value
$40.04
PnL
+$50.81
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
Invested
$21.16
Value
β
PnL
-$17.09
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
Invested
$19.49
Value
β
PnL
-$19.49
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Invested
$26.04
Value
β
PnL
-$21.14
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
Invested
$9.53
Value
$5.09
PnL
+$0.5
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
64%
2500-1377 (3877)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
Invested
$0.96
Value
$1.96
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
1955-1898 (3853)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$10.37
Value
β
PnL
-$10.37
Record
39%
1501-2385 (3886)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
β
PnL
-$1.15
Record
44%
2169-2794 (4963)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
soswald1
Up β $120

pspspsps5
Up β $66.3
13897651
Up β $54.19
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $40.04
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $5.09
asidjasiodja
Up β $5