Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$840.73
$29.19
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $512.91 | $495.56 | +$0.66 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $251.4 | β | -$249.4 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.1Β’ | $243.42 | $495.56 | +$250.06 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 75.5Β’ | $132.66 | $124.69 | -$7.97 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 35.6Β’ | $30 | $84.17 | +$54.17 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $35.6 | $35.96 | +$0.36 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 69.1Β’ | $36 | $35.38 | +$0.2 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 57.5Β’ | $31.56 | $30.75 | -$0.81 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 39.7Β’ | $5.95 | $15 | +$9.05 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $15.53 | $12 | -$3.53 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $6.18 | $7.21 | +$4.38 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 70.5Β’ | $19.07 | β | -$18.89 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 70.1Β’ | $5.79 | β | -$5.79 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 33Β’ | $1.98 | β | -$1.98 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
Invested
$512.91
Value
$495.56
PnL
+$0.66
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$132.66
Value
$124.69
PnL
-$7.97
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$30
Value
$84.17
PnL
+$54.17
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$35.6
Value
$35.96
PnL
+$0.36
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$36
Value
$35.38
PnL
+$0.2
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$31.56
Value
$30.75
PnL
-$0.81
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Invested
$5.95
Value
$15
PnL
+$9.05
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$15.53
Value
$12
PnL
-$3.53
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$6.18
Value
$7.21
PnL
+$4.38
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$19.07
Value
β
PnL
-$18.89
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$5.79
Value
β
PnL
-$5.79
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$1.98
Value
β
PnL
-$1.98
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Up β $124.69
uninformedfloww
Up β $84.17
hoodquant
Up β $35.96
soswald1
Up β $35.38
13897651
Up β $30.75
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $15
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $12
asdaefef
Up β $7.21

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0