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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Up 50%

Total Value

$49.44

Combined PnL

-$498.27

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares528

Combined PnL-$506.13

Down4 traders

Total Value$49.44

Total Shares49

Combined PnL+$7.87

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50.1¢	$505.4	—	-$505.4	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 71.5¢	$21.75	$30.43	+$8.68	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 54.6¢	$10.66	$9.8	-$0.86	44% 1229-1596 (2825)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.56	—	-$0.56	50% 1577-1608 (3185)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 79¢	$7.74	$4.2	-$0.06	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.08	—	-$0.08	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$0.09	—	-$0.09	51% 3248-3166 (6414)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$505.4

Value

—

PnL

-$505.4

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Invested

$21.75

Value

$30.43

PnL

+$8.68

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

Invested

$10.66

Value

$9.8

PnL

-$0.86

Record

44%

1229-1596 (2825)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.56

Value

—

PnL

-$0.56

Record

50%

1577-1608 (3185)

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.74

Value

$4.2

PnL

-$0.06

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.08

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.09

Value

—

PnL

-$0.09

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x883d2011...316b5c

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794702300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

soswald1

Down — $30.43

13897651

Down — $9.8

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $4.2

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

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