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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$19.59

Combined PnL

-$519.71

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares577
Combined PnL-$519.33
Down5 traders
Total Value$19.59
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$0.38
Up — 55%Down — 45%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$504.3

Value

—

PnL

-$504.3

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.75

Value

—

PnL

-$7.75

Record

54%

2390-2039 (4429)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$6.73

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.73

Record

44%

1229-1596 (2825)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

38%

1469-2355 (3824)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$1.92

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.08

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Down

Invested

$1.48

Value

$2.59

PnL

+$1.11

Record

49%

1304-1382 (2686)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.83

Value

—

PnL

-$0.83

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x842fa787...973d5d
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794702000

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$504.3
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.75
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.1
13

13897651

Down — $5

-$1.73

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $5

+$0.1
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5

+$0.05
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

+$0.08
PB

PBot-5

Down — $2.59

+$1.11
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.83
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.05
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