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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 50%

Total Value

$183.33

Combined PnL

-$501.61

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares699

Combined PnL-$506.1

Up5 traders

Total Value$183.33

Total Shares183

Combined PnL+$4.49

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.4¢	$501.7	—	-$501.7	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$145	-$0.21	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 90¢	$18.09	$20	+$1.91	44% 1229-1596 (2825)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 91.4¢	$4.57	$5	+$0.43	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 73¢	$6.08	$8.33	+$2.25	54% 2390-2039 (4429)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$1.37	—	-$1.37	33% 1061-2196 (3257)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 1.5¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.1	—	-$0.1	37% 1383-2353 (3736)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 2.3¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	38% 1469-2355 (3824)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$501.7

Value

—

PnL

-$501.7

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Invested

$150

Value

$145

PnL

-$0.21

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

Invested

$18.09

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.91

Record

44%

1229-1596 (2825)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.57

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.43

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

Invested

$6.08

Value

$8.33

PnL

+$2.25

Record

54%

2390-2039 (4429)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.37

Value

—

PnL

-$1.37

Record

33%

1061-2196 (3257)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

38%

1469-2355 (3824)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa58c99c9...63bd14

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794701400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

soswald1

Up — $145

13897651

Up — $20

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

asdaefef

Up — $5

ply-pm2

Up — $8.33

pspspsps5

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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