Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Up 25%
$231.41
-$508.72
Smart Money Signal
3 of 12 top traders (25%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 99¢ | $129.69 | $131 | +$1.31 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $15.75 | $25 | +$9.25 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $20.5 | — | -$20.5 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 45.3¢ | $12.37 | $17.34 | +$4.97 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $26.46 | $15 | -$8.16 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $4.72 | $8 | +$3.28 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $8.68 | $5 | -$3.68 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $2.4 | $4.07 | +$1.67 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.82 | $6 | +$3.18 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1383-2353 (3736) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$129.69
Value
$131
PnL
+$1.31
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$15.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.25
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$20.5
Value
—
PnL
-$20.5
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Invested
$12.37
Value
$17.34
PnL
+$4.97
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Invested
$26.46
Value
$15
PnL
-$8.16
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$4.72
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.28
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$8.68
Value
$5
PnL
-$3.68
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$2.4
Value
$4.07
PnL
+$1.67
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$2.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.18
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1383-2353 (3736)