Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 47%
1 arb excluded
$929.68
-$8.43
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $514.13 | $493.56 | -$3.18 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $145 | +$6.55 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $108.9 | $110 | +$1.1 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Downavg 69.8¢ | $57.54 | $56.55 | -$0.99 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 32.2¢ | $18.04 | — | -$18.04 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.8¢ | $39.49 | $56.55 | +$17.05 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $30.8 | $41.03 | +$10.24 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $27.64 | $42.78 | +$15.14 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86.6¢ | $19.18 | $20.16 | +$2.72 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $7.33 | $15.6 | +$8.27 | 33% 1061-2196 (3257) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.7¢ | $6.7 | — | -$6.7 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $7.29 | — | -$4.84 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$2.7 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.06 | — | -$1.06 | 50% 1577-1608 (3185) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.1¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3¢ | $27.06 | — | -$27.06 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.7¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
Invested
$514.13
Value
$493.56
PnL
-$3.18
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$150
Value
$145
PnL
+$6.55
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$108.9
Value
$110
PnL
+$1.1
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$57.54
Value
$56.55
PnL
-$0.99
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Both legs:
Invested
$30.8
Value
$41.03
PnL
+$10.24
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$27.64
Value
$42.78
PnL
+$15.14
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$19.18
Value
$20.16
PnL
+$2.72
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$7.33
Value
$15.6
PnL
+$8.27
Record
33%
1061-2196 (3257)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Invested
$6.7
Value
—
PnL
-$6.7
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.29
Value
—
PnL
-$4.84
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.06
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
50%
1577-1608 (3185)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$27.06
Value
—
PnL
-$27.06
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $493.56
soswald1
Down — $145
hoodquant
Down — $110
13897651
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $41.03
ply-pm2
Down — $42.78
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20.16
pspspsps5
Down — $15.6
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0