Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 67%
2 arb excluded
$844.11
-$30.76
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $526.34 | $496.91 | -$1.15 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 41.2¢ | $111.01 | $156.18 | +$45.17 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 41.2¢ | $64.29 | $156.18 | +$91.89 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27.1¢ | $46.72 | — | -$46.72 | |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 53.6¢ | $67.62 | $63.72 | -$3.9 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.6¢ | $40.85 | — | -$40.85 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42¢ | $26.78 | $63.72 | +$36.95 | |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $34.2 | $45 | +$10.8 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 46.1¢ | $32.18 | $36.99 | +$4.8 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 65.5¢ | $19.59 | — | -$19.59 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.7¢ | $23.7 | — | -$23.7 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $39.31 | $15.1 | -$6 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $3.77 | $10.2 | +$6.43 | 37% 1383-2353 (3736) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $9.96 | $10 | +$1.59 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.25 | $5 | +$3.75 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
Invested
$526.34
Value
$496.91
PnL
-$1.15
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$111.01
Value
$156.18
PnL
+$45.17
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.62
Value
$63.72
PnL
-$3.9
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Both legs:
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$34.2
Value
$45
PnL
+$10.8
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Invested
$32.18
Value
$36.99
PnL
+$4.8
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$19.59
Value
—
PnL
-$19.59
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$23.7
Value
—
PnL
-$23.7
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$39.31
Value
$15.1
PnL
-$6
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$3.77
Value
$10.2
PnL
+$6.43
Record
37%
1383-2353 (3736)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.96
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.59
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$1.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.75
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $496.91
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
ARBArbitrage — excluded
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $45
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $36.99
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $15.1
antsaslyku
Down — $10.2
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $10