Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 28% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Down 28%
$370.5
-$459.51
Smart Money Signal
5 of 18 top traders (28%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.9¢ | $523.18 | — | -$494.65 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $20.26 | $83.03 | +$62.77 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 30.8¢ | $45.33 | $112.56 | +$67.23 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $44.41 | $55.74 | +$11.33 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | $50.44 | — | -$50.44 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $22.45 | $30.88 | +$8.43 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $13.99 | — | -$13.99 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $7.7 | $16 | +$8.3 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $19.44 | $15.22 | -$1.25 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $3.55 | $5.07 | +$1.52 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 50% 832-828 (1660) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $3.2 | $10 | +$6.8 | 50% 4482-4555 (9037) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.54 | $7 | +$5.46 | 50% 1577-1608 (3185) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1383-2353 (3736) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $80.12 | — | -$80.12 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
Invested
$523.18
Value
—
PnL
-$494.65
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$20.26
Value
$83.03
PnL
+$62.77
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$45.33
Value
$112.56
PnL
+$67.23
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$44.41
Value
$55.74
PnL
+$11.33
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$50.44
Value
—
PnL
-$50.44
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Invested
$22.45
Value
$30.88
PnL
+$8.43
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$13.99
Value
—
PnL
-$13.99
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
Invested
$7.7
Value
$16
PnL
+$8.3
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$19.44
Value
$15.22
PnL
-$1.25
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.52
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
832-828 (1660)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.8
Record
50%
4482-4555 (9037)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
$7
PnL
+$5.46
Record
50%
1577-1608 (3185)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1383-2353 (3736)
Invested
$80.12
Value
—
PnL
-$80.12
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $83.03
ply-pm2
Up — $112.56
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $55.74
13897651
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $30.88
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $16
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $15
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $15.22