Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 47%
$223.15
-$530.35
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.2¢ | $528.21 | — | -$506.15 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.8¢ | $46.72 | — | -$46.72 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $59.61 | $56.6 | -$3.01 | 44% 1229-1596 (2825) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 89.2¢ | $101.3 | $38.78 | -$28.57 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $28.9 | $34.28 | +$5.38 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 11.9¢ | $7.63 | $25.64 | +$30.84 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $20.2 | $20.33 | +$0.13 | 50% 4482-4555 (9037) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.89 | $21 | +$19.11 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.35 | $15 | +$13.65 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.9¢ | $17.78 | — | -$9.86 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $5.46 | $5.22 | +$1.72 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $0.8 | $5 | +$4.2 | 33% 1061-2196 (3257) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $6.86 | — | -$2.56 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1383-2353 (3736) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $0.3 | $1.3 | +$1 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $5 | — | -$0.45 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.9¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
Invested
$528.21
Value
—
PnL
-$506.15
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$46.72
Value
—
PnL
-$46.72
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
Invested
$59.61
Value
$56.6
PnL
-$3.01
Record
44%
1229-1596 (2825)
Invested
$101.3
Value
$38.78
PnL
-$28.57
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$28.9
Value
$34.28
PnL
+$5.38
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$7.63
Value
$25.64
PnL
+$30.84
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$20.2
Value
$20.33
PnL
+$0.13
Record
50%
4482-4555 (9037)
Invested
$1.89
Value
$21
PnL
+$19.11
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$1.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$13.65
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Invested
$17.78
Value
—
PnL
-$9.86
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$1.72
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.2
Record
33%
1061-2196 (3257)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
Invested
$6.86
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1383-2353 (3736)
Invested
$0.3
Value
$1.3
PnL
+$1
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
suntori
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $56.6
ply-pm2
Down — $38.78
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $34.28
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $25.64
asdcaxz
Down — $20.33
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $21
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $15
soswald1
CTRUp — $0